Dr. Isabelle Rombouts is a research fellow at the Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Geosciences, Wimereux, France, where she studies large-scale taxonomic and functional diversity patterns in marine plankton. In collaboration with Dr Grégory Beaugrand, Isabelle received a Marie Curie European Reintegration grant (2011-2014) to investigate the relationships between copepod diversity, community body size structure, and the potential influences of a changing climate. With the onset of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) in Europe, and as a result of her experience in data management and numerical analyses, Isabelle has contributed to the development of diversity indicators focusing on novel techniques and integrative approaches. Currently, Isabelle is an active member of the OSPAR Intersessional Correspondence Group on Biodiversity Monitoring and Assessment (ICG-COBAM) expert panels on pelagic habitats and food webs, and she participates in several working groups of the Science Committee of the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES).
S2: Regional climate modeling in the North Pacific
Michael Foreman Institute of Ocean Sciences, Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Canada
Mike Foreman(mike.foreman@dfo-mpo.gc.ca)is a Research Scientist at the Institute of Ocean Sciences (Fisheries and Oceans Canada) where his studies have included coastal biophysical modeling, climate change modeling and analyses, data assimilation, satellite altimetry analyses, and the analysis, prediction and modeling of tides. He was Chair of the Physical and Oceanographic and Climate committee from 2005 to 2010, Co-Chair of Working Group 20 (Evaluations of Climate Change Projections) from 2006 to 2010, and is a member of S-CCME and Working Groups 27 and 29.
Arthur Miller Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, USA
Dr. Art Miller is currently a Research Oceanographer and a Senior Lecturer in Climate Sciences at Scripps Institution of Oceanography (UCSD). He is also Director of the Climate, Atmospheric Science, and Physical Oceanography (CASPO) Division. He is a physical oceanographer who studies oceanic influences on climate variability using a combination of computer simulation models and observational analysis. His research extends from basic issues in physical oceanography to a variety of topics in climate dynamics, atmospheric dynamics, data assimilation, regional impacts of global climate change, and oceanic ecosystem response to physical forcing. He also serves on the U.S. CLIVAR Phenomena Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel, and has served on theU.S. GLOBEC Scientific Steering Committee, the PICES Evaluations of Climate Change Working Group, the Bering Ecosystem Study (BEST) Scientific Steering Committee, and the U.S. CLIVAR Pacific Sector Implementation Panel.
Takashi Mochizuki is a Senior Scientist with the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC). He received his Ph.D. from Kyoto University in 2003. His research interests are in understanding climate variability and predictability by numerical modeling, observational analyses and data assimilation approach. His research has recently focused on decadal-scale climate prediction and predictability relevant to near-term climate change projection. He contributed to the latest IPCC WG1 report through participating in the Japanese government projects for global warming research.
S3: Challenges in communicating science and engaging the public
William Peterson Hatfield Marine Science Center, NOAA-Fisheries, USA
Bill Peterson is perhaps best known for his biweekly oceanographic cruises along the Newport Line, a program that measures hydrographic conditions and samples nutrients, chlorophyll, copepods and krill at 7 stations in shelf and slope waters off Oregon. This program began in 1996 and is now its 19th year. The highlights are perhaps (1) the demonstration that the PDO and copepod species composition are correlated, and (2) that salmon returns to the Columbia River and coastal rivers of Oregon can be predicted from data on the biomass of the "northern lipid-rich" copepods, Calanus marshallae, Pseudocalanus mimus and Acartia longiremis. Bill has been active in PICES since 1998; his long term interest is working out how climate variability and change will effect marine food chains in the northern California Current.
Dr. Satoquo Seino is an Associate Professor of Research Institute of Environment for Sustainability in Kyushu University, Japan.
Her research interests are consensus building and citizen participation in coastal zone management, ecological engineering of aquatic biodiversity and habitats conservation and restoration in coastal and river waters, and endangered species protection.
Her interests also cover sustainable use of marine resources based on local ecological knowledge and integration with scientific one. She has been joined many environmental planning and legal system amendments in Japan.
She was awarded the 1st Environmental Scicence Award from the Oceanographic Society of Japan in 2010.
S4: Ecosystem status, trends and forecasts
S4 combined with S6:
Deborah Steinberg Virginia Institute of Marine Science, USA
Dr. Deborah Steinberg is a Professor of Marine Science at the Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS), College of William and Mary. Her major areas of interest are zooplankton ecology and biogeochemical cycling, coastal and deep-sea food webs, effects of climate change on zooplankton community structure, and science education. She received her Ph.D. in 1993 from the University of California Santa Cruz, and was a Research scientist at the Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences where she coordinated the Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS) program before coming to VIMS in 2001. Recent and current research projects include studies of the effects of climate change on zooplankton west of the Antarctic Peninsula, zooplankton and nutrient cycling in the Amazon River plume, and long-term trends in zooplankton and biogeochemical cycling in the Sargasso Sea as part of the BATS program. She is currently also Associate Editor of Deep-Sea Research I and Annual Review of Marine Science, member of the Board of Trustees of the Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences, and Council member of the University-National Laboratory System and The Oceanography Society.
S5: Mechanisms of change: Processes behind climate variability in the North Pacific
Mat Collins is the Joint Met Office Chair in Climate Change in the College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences at the University of Exeter, UK. His research interests are in climate modelling, quantifying uncertainty and probabilistic climate prediction, seasonal to decadal climate predictability and in understanding climate variability. He has a particular interest in the El Nino Southern Oscillation and how it might respond to climate change. He was a Coordinating Lead Author on the IPCC AR5 Chapter 12, Long-Term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. He serves on the International CLIVAR Pacific Implementation Panel and the CLIVAR ENSO Task Team.
Taka Ito Georgia Institute of Technology , USA
Session S5
Invited Speaker
Nate Mantua Southwest Fisheries Science Center, NOAA-Fisheries, USA
Nate Mantua is a research scientist with NOAA’s Southwest Fisheries Science Center in Santa Cruz, CA. His research has focused on understanding the dynamics and consequences for natural variations in Pacific climate related to El Nino and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, climate impacts on Pacific salmon production and marine ecosystems. He served on the Pacific Salmon Commission Panel on Fraser River Sockeye Declines, the US Fish and Wildlife Service Expert Panel on Marbled Murrelets, the Royal Society of Canada panel on Climate Change and Ocean Biodiversity, and the National Research Council's study of the Alaska Groundfish Fishery and Stellar Sea Lions. He received an Presidential Early Career Award for Scientists and Engineers from NOAA in 2000. He served as the Co-Director for the University of Washington's Climate Impacts Group, an interdisciplinary research team dedicated to increasing the climate resilience for people and nature. He has a B.S. degree from the University of California at Davis, and a PhD from the University of Washington.
Beth Fulton is a Principal Research Scientist with the CSIRO where she is the head of ecosystem modelling. She developed many modelling tools for exploring the sustainable multiple use management of complex coastal socioecological systems. The best known is the Atlantis modelling framework, used to provide strategic advice to the Australian Fisheries Management Authority. It has been applied in more than 20 marine ecosystems around the world to provide advice on managing potentially competing uses of marine environments, indicators and monitoring, and adaptation to global change.
Beth received a BSc Hons I, majoring in Marine Biology and Mathematics, from James Cook University, Townsville (1997) and a Ph.D. on ecosystem model complexity from the University of Tasmania (2001). She has more than 60 publications and has provided the ecosystem modelling analysis behind international initiatives attempting to define the status of the world’s marine fish stocks (Worm et al 2009, Science), the best means of monitoring them (Branch et al 2010, Nature) and potential future exploitation paradigms (Garcia et al 2012, Science). Beth is a contributing author to the latest IPCC WG2 report, a member of the Australian Antarctic Science Advisory Committee and her contribution to marine resource management and science have also been recognised with numerous awards, including Ecological Society of America Sustainability Science Award (2011); a Pew Marine Conservation Fellowship (2010-2014); and the 2007 Australian Science Minister’s Prize for Life Scientist of the Year.
S7: Strategies for ecosystem management in a changing climate
Jason Link, PhD, is the first-ever Senior Scientist for Ecosystem Management for NOAA Fisheries. In this role, Dr. Link is the agency’s senior-most authority on ecosystem science, conducting research and coordinating activities of NOAA Fisheries’ science support for effective ecosystem-based management. He leads approaches and models to support development of ecosystem-based management plans throughout the agency.
During his career with NOAA Fisheries, Dr. Link's work has revolved around the scientific underpinnings for ecosystem-based marine resource management. His expertise in food web dynamics and his exemplary work with the Ecosystem Assessment Program at NOAA’s Northeast Fisheries Science Center in Woods Hole has led to his and NOAA’s acknowledgement around the world, resulting in comparable programs in other countries. While pelagic communities and predator-prey ecology remain important to him, Dr. Link’s work has moved more towards applied ecological modeling and practical fisheries science for management. Recent efforts have focused on essential fish habitat, multi-species models, ecosystem models, and developing resource management tools and systems with a strong ecological, and now climatological, basis.
Dr. Link has extensive experience working in marine and Great Lakes systems around the world. He is an adjunct professor at multiple regional universities and serves on and chairs several national and international working groups, review panels, and committees dealing with fisheries ecosystem issues, being a commonly requested speaker at various fora and venues. He received his B.S. from Central Michigan University and his Ph.D. from Michigan Technological University. He received the Fisheries Society of the British Isles Medal for significant advances in fisheries science.
S8: Human dimension indicators of the status of the North Pacific ecosystem
Patrick Christie is a Professor in the School of Marine and Environmental Affairs and Jackson School of International Studies at the University of Washington. Patrick has led various comparative, socio-ecological research projects in Puget Sound, Philippines, the Coral Triangle region, and Latin America to inform the practice of marine resource management. His research in Puget Sound has identified factors affecting resource management policy success and structures of scientific networks. He is particularly interested in the human dimensions of marine conservation employing marine protected areas, ecosystem-based management, and marine spatial planning which resulted in a Pew Fellowship in Marine Conservation. He recently led a review of the US-support program for the Coral Triangle Initiative in six countries that involved interviewing thousands of fishers and policy makers.
Patrick provides technical advice on the human dimensions of marine conservation to the UN Food and Agricultural Organization, World Bank, USAID, and various governmental and non-governmental environmental organizations. In addition to his scholarship, he is actively engaged in marine protected area design and implementation in various locations. He draws from his three years of experience living in a Philippine fishing community implementing a community-based marine protected area as a Peace Corps Volunteer. He is an Editor-In-Chief for the peer reviewed journal Coastal Management and former national board member for The Coastal Society. He has a Bachelors degree in zoology from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, a Masters degree in conservation biology and Doctorate in environmental sociology and policy from the University of Michigan.
W1: Top predators as indicators of climate change: statistical techniques, challenges and opportunities
Emanuele Di Lorenzo Georgia Institute of Technology, USA
Dr. Emanuele Di Lorenzo is a Professor of Ocean and Climate Dynamics in the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, U.S.A. He received his Ph.D. in oceanography at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in 2003. His research interests and experience span a wide range of topics from physical oceanography to ocean climate and marine ecosystems. More specific focus is on dynamics of basin and regional ocean circulation, inverse modeling, Pacific low-frequency variability, and impacts of large-scale climate variability on marine ecosystem dynamics (http://www.oces.us). In PICES he is co-chair of the Working group on North Pacific Climate Variability & Change and member of the Climate Ocean Variability and Ecosystem Advisory Panel (COVE-AP). He also serves on the US Comparative Analysis of Marine Ecosystem (CAMEO) Science Steering Committee.
Jeffrey Polovina Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, NOAA-Fisheries, USA
Jeffrey Polovina is a biological oceanographer and Chief of the Ecosystem and Oceanography Division (EOD). His research focuses on understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of marine ecosystems with an emphasis on high tropic levels. Jeff Polovina began his career studying the Hawaiian Islands coral reef ecosystem trophic web where he developed the ecosystem model approach ECOPATH. Over the past several decades, he and the researchers in EOD, have focused on physical biological linkages in marine ecosystems, especially regime shifts and climate impacts. A related area of interest is to understand how large pelagic animals use oceanic habitats. He and colleagues have sent out fleets of turtles, tunas, and sharks equipped with electronic tags and used satellite remotely-sensed oceanographic data to describe the migration paths and foraging “hotspots” of these mobile predators. His current research uses climate and ecosystem models to identify potential climate impacts on marine ecosystems.
While most of his work focuses on the central North Pacific, Dr. Polovina has had 2 Fulbright Senior Research awards for work in Kenya and the Galapagos. Dr. Polovina is also an adjunct faculty in the Oceanography Department at the University of Hawaii and a Senior Fellow at the Joint Institute of Marine and Atmospheric Research (JIMAR) in Hawaii. In 2010 he received the Wooster Award.
William Sydeman Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research, USA
Dr. William J. Sydeman is a veteran marine ecologist with 30 years of experience studying the California Current and other North Pacific marine ecosystems. As President and Senior Scientist with the Farallon Institute for Advanced Ecosystem Research in northern California, Sydeman currently manages a non-profit scientific organization dedicated to the understanding and preservation of healthy marine ecosystems, as well as conducts original research designed to provide the scientific basis for ecosystem management practices and policy reforms consistent with a productive marine world. Sydeman’s specialities include investigations of natural and human-based climate change and the broad implications and influences of ocean currents, weather patterns, fishing practices and coastal development on marine food webs and ecosystem processes. Originally cross-trained in oceanography, quantitative population biology, and ecology at University of California, Sydeman now works on physical-biological interactions on a variety of taxa from seabirds and marine mammals to krill and forage fish. From 2003 to 2010, Sydeman served the PICES community as co-chair of the Advisory Panel for Marine Birds and Mammals.
Kevin Weng manages the Pelagic Fisheries Research Program, and is a faculty member in the Oceanography Department, at the University of Hawaii at Manoa. He advises three graduate students and several undergraduates, and operates a coastal research vessel. He attended Williams College (BA), the University of Hawaii at Manoa (MSc) and Stanford University (PhD). He is the co-chair of the Steering Committee for CLIOTOP, Climate Impacts on Top Oceanic Predators, an IMBER program (formerly under GLOBEC). He serves on the editorial board for the journal “Animal Biotelemetry”. His research focuses on the spatial ecology, migration and habitat requirements of commercially targeted fishes as well as bycatch species such as sharks. His lab uses a variety of telemetry techniques to follow animals through their natural habitats, as well as physiological approaches to understanding adaptation and performance. The group aims to better understand how marine fishes use present habitats, and how they will respond to future changes.
W2: Bridging the divide between models and decision-making: The role of uncertainty in the uptake of forecasts by decision makers
Georgina Gibson International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA
Dr. Georgina Gibson has fifteen years of experience developing, validating, running, and analyzing marine ecosystem models of varying levels of complexityâ€"from simple zero-dimensional functional response models to basin-wide, three-dimensional, coupled bio-physical models. Gibson received a joint honors BSc in Marine Biology and Oceanography from the University of Wales, Bangor and a PhD in Biological Oceanography from the University of Alaska Fairbanks, and she completed a Post Doc with the Arctic Region Supercomputing Center. As a Research Assistant Professor at the International Arctic Research Center (IARC), she uses computational approaches to explain and predict variability in high-latitude marine ecosystems. Her research interests center on understanding how variability in the hydrography of the ocean influences temporal and spatial patterns of biomass and production. She specializes in lower trophic-level, Nutrient-Phytoplankton-Zooplankton food web models as well as Individual-Based Models of larval fish. Georgina grew up on the Isle of Wight, a small island off of the south coast of Britain, and she currently lives in Fairbanks, Alaska. Dr. Gibson may be contacted at gagibson@alaska.edu.
Lee Failing Compass Resource Management Ltd., Canada
Lee is a partner with Compass Resource Management in Vancouver BC. She is a professional engineer and decision analyst with twenty years of experience in environmental policy and governance, options assessment, risk management and stakeholder deliberative processes.
Co-author of the recently released book “Structured Decision Making: A Practical Guide for Environmental Management Choices”, Lee has been instrumental in the development of the structured decision making approach over the past decade, and is recognized globally for her expertise in its application to environmental policy, environmental assessment and multistakeholder planning and negotiations. An experienced and results-focused facilitator, she makes use of innovative tools adapted from the decision sciences to help groups make informed choices, particularly in situations characterized by scientific uncertainty, diverse risk tolerances and difficult value-based trade-offs. She has worked as a facilitator and strategic advisor to groups of all kinds, including intergovernmental groups, technical panels, community and aboriginal groups.
Lee has been co-investigator on several research awards from the US National Science Foundation, addressing among other things, the integration of science and local knowledge in decision making, and development of best practices for communicating uncertainty to decision makers.
Lee has a Masters in Resource Management (MRM) from Simon Fraser University and a Bachelors of Science in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Manitoba.
W3: Climate change and ecosystem-based management of living marine resources: Appraising and advancing key modelling tools
Icarus Allen has been working as a research scientist at the Plymouth Marine laboratory for over 21 years, during which he has acquired a broad range of experience both as a marine ecosystem modelling scientist and more recently as a senior manager. He is Head of Science for Biogeochemistry and Systems Science at the Plymouth Marine Laboratory which involves participation as a member of the Science Team in formulating corporate policies, plans and budgets and in monitoring PML’s performance to ensure the business, strategic and operational objectives are achieved. He is an honorary visiting professor at the College of Life and Environmental Sciences of the University of Exeter. In particular his role is to lead, develop and evaluate the strategic direction of PML’s ecosystem modelling. He has been involved in and acted as PI for over 35 national and EC projects, including coordinating the FP7 MEECE and OpEc integrated projects. He is the PI for the modelling activities in the Shelf Seas Biogeochemistry program, the Ocean Carbon theme of the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting (NCEO), Integrated Marine Biogeochemical Modelling Network (i-MarNet) and the new NERC Defra Marine Ecosytems Program. Icarus is also on the board of NCEO (the UK National Centre for Earth Observation).
His scientific background is multidisciplinary, specialising in the numerical modelling of marine systems from individual cells to shelf wide ecosystems. Until recently the overriding theme of all my work has been the interfacing of biogeochemical process models with hydrodynamic models in 1, 2 and 3 dimensions and the analysis of the subsequent simulations. In general terms the focus of this work has been the coupled physical biogeochemical modelling of shelf seas, with a focus on the NW European Shelf. More specifically this involves; operational ecosystem forecast, working within the UK National Centre for Ocean Forecasting (NCOF) to develop operational plankton/ water quality forecasts; data assimilation and merging model/EO data products to predict HABs, model skill assessment, shelf seas ecosystem response to multiple drivers, both climate (e.g. temperature, stratification, circulation, acidification) and anthropogenic (e.g. pollution, eutrophication, fishing, invasive species), development of global shelf seas ecosystem models based on POLCOMS_ERSEM and the process modelling of climatically active marine biogases (e.g. DMS(p), halocarbons).
Beth Fulton is a Principal Research Scientist with the CSIRO where she is the head of ecosystem modelling. She developed many modelling tools for exploring the sustainable multiple use management of complex coastal socioecological systems. The best known is the Atlantis modelling framework, used to provide strategic advice to the Australian Fisheries Management Authority. It has been applied in more than 20 marine ecosystems around the world to provide advice on managing potentially competing uses of marine environments, indicators and monitoring, and adaptation to global change.
Beth received a BSc Hons I, majoring in Marine Biology and Mathematics, from James Cook University, Townsville (1997) and a Ph.D. on ecosystem model complexity from the University of Tasmania (2001). She has more than 60 publications and has provided the ecosystem modelling analysis behind international initiatives attempting to define the status of the world’s marine fish stocks (Worm et al 2009, Science), the best means of monitoring them (Branch et al 2010, Nature) and potential future exploitation paradigms (Garcia et al 2012, Science). Beth is a contributing author to the latest IPCC WG2 report, a member of the Australian Antarctic Science Advisory Committee and her contribution to marine resource management and science have also been recognised with numerous awards, including Ecological Society of America Sustainability Science Award (2011); a Pew Marine Conservation Fellowship (2010-2014); and the 2007 Australian Science Minister’s Prize for Life Scientist of the Year.
