Scientific sessions will include invited and contributed papers. Contributed
papers have been selected for oral or poster presentation.
Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held
from 18:30-21:00 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected
to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions
are 1.6 m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).
All coffee breaks and refreshments will be served in the poster area
to maximize opportunities to see these contributions and to interact
with the presenters.
The day preceding the symposium (Sunday, April 25) will be devoted
to
proposed by the science community.
Changes:
Tarub Bahri will make an Invited Talk in C1 Session on behalf of Kevern
Cochrane
P1 and D1 Sessions have been joined into P1-D1 (April 26)
A2 Session will be held on Apr. 26 (afternoon) and Apr. 27 (morning).
B2 Session will be held on Apr. 28
Co-Convenors:
Kenneth Drinkwater (Institute of Marine Research,
Norway)
Harald Loeng (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)
Yasuhiro Yamanaka (Hokkaido University, Japan)
Franz Mueter (School of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences,
University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA)
Carl O'Brien (Centre for Environment, Fisheries
and Aquaculture Science, UK)
Invited Speakers:
Randall Peterman (Simon Fraser University, Canada)
Kevin Trenberth (National
Center for Atmospheric Research, NOAA, USA)
Akihiko Yatsu (Seikai
National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)
This session seeks papers on the impacts of future
climate change on the physical oceanography, biogeochemistry, and food
webs of the world oceans. This includes contributions on appropriate
methods for determining impact projections and estimating levels of
uncertainty as well as actual development of ecosystem scenarios. Presentations
will be considered on downscaling from global models and the problems
involved to produce regional future climate and physical oceanographic
scenarios; scenarios of climate-induced changes in nutrient dynamics
and other biogeochemical processes, changes in ecosystem community structure
and function from phytoplankton and zooplankton through to fish populations.
These include changes in production and distribution and their influence
upon biodiversity.
Email your questions to P1
Convenors
Email your questions to P1 Invited Speakers
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Co-Convenors:
Manuel Barange (GLOBEC International Project Office)
Jacquelynne King (Pacific Biological Station,
DFO, Canada)
Ian Perry (Pacific
Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Invited Speakers:
Eddie Allison (WorldFish, Malaysia)
Rashid Sumaila (Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Canada)
Climate change direct impacts on marine populations
will alter the provision of food from our oceans to our markets. At
the same time, the on-going process of economic globalization will modify
or exacerbate the vulnerability of fish production systems to climate
change at global, regional and local level. Policy and management agencies
will require scientific advice on the potential impacts that climate
change (and its associated economic developments) will have on the availability
of fish populations to fisheries, markets and consumers. This session
will focus on changes in marine population dynamics as they relate to
fisheries (e.g., impacts on catchability or maximum sustainable yield),
to processing and market demands (e.g., changes in size-at-age), to
market forces (e.g., changes in price and trade) and to food security
(e.g., collective vulnerability analysis). We invite papers that forecast
these types of changes, quantify the uncertainty of these forecasts
in risk assessment frameworks useful to resource managers, and/or explore
the interactivity between the ecosystem and market dynamics.
Email your questions to P2
Convenors
Email your questions to P2
Invited Speakers
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Co-Convenors:
Michael Foreman (Institute of Ocean Sciences, DFO, Canada)
Jason Holt (Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory,
UK)
Invited Speakers:
Icarus Allen (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, UK)
Muyin Wang (University of Washington, USA)
Analyses and summaries recently presented in the Fourth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
indicate that many of the dramatic changes observed in the circulation
and physical characteristics of the oceans over the past century will
continue in the future. As one of the major limitations of the global
climate models that are used to estimate these future projections is
their relatively coarse resolution, statistical or dynamical downscaling
is often needed to provide sufficient spatial detail in the variables
of interest. In this session, we solicit presentations that address
the downscaling of global climate model variables relevant to marine
ecosystems. Papers describing downscaling techniques and/or their application
to particular regions or variables are welcome. Presentations that analyze
global climate models projections, or results from higher-resolution
regional ocean, or coupled atmosphere-ocean, models that are forced
by, and take their boundary conditions from, global climate models,
are also encouraged.
Email your questions to A1
Convenors
Email your questions to A1 Invited Speakers
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Co-Convenors:
Thomas Okey (Pew Fellow / UVic / Bamfield Marine
Station, Canada)
Akihiko Yatsu (Seikai National Fisheries Research
Institute, FRA, Japan)
Invited Speakers:
Beth Fulton (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research,
Australia)
Jeff Polovina (Pacific Island Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Assessing effects of climate change on marine ecosystems
(i.e., biological communities) is a major challenge, mainly because
(1) future changes in physical forcing, such as water temperature, will
exceed historically observed values, and (2) biological responses or
adaptations to these changes are highly uncertain, particularly over
a long time period. Changes in geographic ranges, vertical distributions,
phenologies, population structures, and productivities will differ among
individual species thereby altering the connectivities and functions
of ecosystem components, including predator-prey relationships and competition,
species assembly, community structure, biodiversity, energy flow, and
carrying capacity. This session invites studies on retrospective analyses
on changes in freshwater, coastal, and offshore ecosystems/communities,
experimental studies on species interactions under climate-change-related
conditions, and conceptual and numerical modelling of ecosystems relevant
to climate change.
Email your questions to B1
Convenors
Email your questions to B1 Invited Speakers
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Co-Convenors:
Richard Beamish (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Myron Peck (Center for Marine and Climate Research,
University of Hamburg, Germany)
Invited Speakers:
John Pinnegar (Centre for Environment, Fisheries
and Aquaculture Studies, UK)
Hans-Otto Pörtner (Alfred Wegener Institute,
Germany)
Climate is now recognized as a major factor affecting
the productivity of key species in world fisheries. The mechanisms that
link climate to fish productivity need to be better understood to ensure
that natural and greenhouse gas induced climate changes are incorporated
into the management of fisheries. Population-level changes in commercially
and ecologically important marine fish species may result from climate-driven
changes in organismal-level vital rates (e.g., changes in growth, reproductive
success and mortality). Furthermore, expansion, contraction and/or shifts
in the distribution of fish stocks will result from changes in suitable
habitats (habitats that allow connectivity among life stages, life cycle
closure and successful recruitment). The extent of climate-driven changes
will be mediated by the capacity for individual species (or populations)
to adapt to changes in important abiotic and biotic factors. Adaptations
could include both changes in the phenology of important life history
events (e.g., migration, spawning) and/or physiological changes (e.g.,
thermal reaction norms of key traits such as growth, increased tolerance
to lowered pH / ocean acidification). This session provides a forum
for presentations focusing on the response of key fish and fisheries
species worldwide to climate change by:
1) documenting historical, long-term fluctuations in abundance and distribution,
2) discussing processes underlying current changes, and/or 3) projecting
future impacts in light of adaptive capacity. Key fisheries species
include those utilizing marine habitats during any portion of their
life cycle and that are commercially or ecologically important marine
resources.
Email your questions to A2
Convenors
Email your questions to A2
Invited Speakers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Co-Convenors:
Jürgen Alheit (Leibniz Institute for Baltic
Sea Research, Germany)
Vladimir Radchenko (Sakhalin Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography, Russia)
Invited Speakers:
Nicholas Dulvy (Simon Fraser University, Canada)
Svein Sundby (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)
Over the last two decades, convincing evidence has
been collected that global and regional climate variability is a strong
driving force of changes in marine ecosystems (and the fish and shell
fish populations embedded in them). Climate drivers influence near-shore,
shelf and oceanic regions, however, the same climate signal may be correlated
with different responses of marine populations among these regions,
due to the different mechanisms by which climate variability impacts
these communities and the role of human activities in modifying these
mechanisms, particularly in near-shore areas. Whereas the effect of
climate variability has been intensely studied in single marine systems
or on single species/species groups across different systems, comparisons
of climatic influences on coastal and oceanic systems are generally
lacking. As marine ecosystems are not amenable to experimental investigations
with respect to climate effects, comparative analyses are the best way
to enhance our knowledge on the response of ecosystems and their populations.
Ecosystem regime shifts and teleconnection patterns in the reaction
of distant marine ecosystems towards climate impacts are important phenomena
which help us to better understand responses to climate variability.
The goal of this session is to discuss the interactions, ramifications,
and potential connections between climate variability and marine ecosystems.
Contributions are requested which demonstrate the impact of climate
variability with a view to future climate change.
Email your questions to B2
Convenors
Email your questions to B2 Invited Speakers
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Evening
Poster Session (Day 2, Apr. 27)
Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held
from 18:30-20:30 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected
to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions are 1.6
m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).
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Co-Convenors:
Keith Brander (National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark)
Suam Kim (Pukyong National University, Korea)
Invited Speakers:
Tarub Bahri (Fishery Resources Division, Food
and Agriculture Organization)
Ian Perry (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Climate change has had an impact on fisheries and coastal
communities throughout history, due to environmentally driven fish stock
fluctuations, changes in species distribution, extreme events and changes
in sea-level. The survival of coastal communities depended on being
able to cope with such changes, by altering their fishing practices
or switching to alternative livelihoods. In many cases communities did
not survive or suffered economic hardship and emigration. Although some
adaptability can be expected in response to anthropogenic climate change,
the new situation is different in a number of ways. The expected rate
of change is rapid and in one direction; most fisheries are already
under pressure from overfishing, habitat degradation and other sea and
coastal uses; new pressures arise from sea-level rise and ocean acidification.
This session seeks papers that provide forecasts of expected impacts
of climate change on the coastal fish stocks and the communities that
depend on them as well as strategies for survival under a changing climate.
Email your questions to C1
Convenors
Email your questions to C1 Invited Speakers
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Co-Convenors:
Kevern Cochrane (Fishery Resources Division, Food and Agriculture Organization)
Jake Rice (Ecosystem Science Directorate, DFO, Canada)
Invited Speakers:
Johann Bell (Policy and Planning Facility, Secretariat of the Pacific Community)
Bonnie McCay (Rutgers the State University, USA)
Humans depend on the oceans for many goods and services
essential to their well-being. As terrestrial and marine ecosystems
change in response to climate, these dependencies are expected to become
even greater, particularly but hardly exclusively for food security.
This session will focus on how society, at a range of scales from community
to population, might adapt to the changes expected in the oceans, and
in the goods and services on which they depend so that optimal benefits
may be obtained without unacceptable increases in the risks to the systems.
Contributions from social scientists, economists, and policy experts
are welcomed, as well as from natural scientists interested in strategies
for sustainable use of marine resources in the face of changing human
needs as well as changing ocean conditions. Just a few decades in the
future, societies and governments may face very difficult choices about
the proper balance between provision of food security and conservation
of marine biodiversity for an even bigger human population confronted
with changing, possibly declining, aquatic and terrestrial food production.
The proper balance between established uses of oceans and coastal regions
and new uses such as wind and tidal power must also be faced. This session
is intended to open an expert dialogue on these important questions,
through a mixture of conceptual, analytical, and case-history presentations.
Email your questions to C2 Convenors
Email your questions to C2 Invited Speakers
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Co-Convenors:
Jonathan Hare (Northeast Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Shin-Ichi Ito (Tohoku National Fisheries Research
Institute, FRA, Japan)
Invited Speakers:
Anand Gnanadesikan (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Laboratory, NOAA, USA)
Michio Kawamiya (JAMSTEC, Japan)
The projection of marine ecosystem response to future
climate scenarios is needed to assess and implement marine ecosystem
management. The marine ecosystem is part of the earth system and prediction
of ecosystem responses requires integrated knowledge from physical,
chemical, and biological perspectives as well as from marine, terrestrial
and atmospheric perspectives. The earth system is complex with non-linear
feedbacks (including biological to physical), regime shifts, and, in
some cases, thresholds beyond which change is irreversible. Therefore,
the uncertainties of climate and oceanographic models cause uncertainties
of the projection of marine ecosystem response not only directly but
also through complex feedback mechanisms. To reduce the uncertainties
of the marine ecosystem projection, we must understand the mechanisms
controlling climate systems and the linkages to marine ecosystems. Specific
species responses to future ecosystem conditions are required by natural
resource managers, and these require specific information (e.g., environments
in coastal area during the short spawning period) as well as information
regarding change of the ecosystem as a whole (e.g., total primary production,
food-web dynamics). These issues are not part of climate modeling, but
mechanistic links between the biological, physical, and chemical systems
must be identified and incorporated into coupled population-ecosystem-climate
models. Technical advances and new approaches are essential to achieve
the goal of producing better projections of marine ecosystem response
to future climate scenarios. This session will focus on climate and
oceanographic models and technical advances and new approaches. Presentations
that focus on modeling of climate and ecosystem interaction are also
welcome.
Email your questions to D2
Convenors
Email your questions to D2 Invited
Speakers
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Evening
Poster Session (Day 3, Apr. 28)
Two evening poster sessions (with appetizers and drinks) will be held
from 18:30-20:30 on April 27 and 28, when poster presenters are expected
to be available to answer questions. Maximum poster dimensions are 1.6
m high and 1 m wide (Portrait-oriented).
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Co-Convenors:
Anne Hollowed (Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Michael Schirripa (Southeast Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Invited Speakers:
Éva Plagányi-Lloyd (CSIRO Marine
and Atmospheric Research, Australia)
Chang Ik Zhang (Pukyong National University, Korea)
Many nations have adopted a goal of building sustainable
fisheries. Traditionally, this goal has been pursued through the adoption
of precautionary harvest policies that are based on the expected productivity
of the stock in a future environmental state. However, these harvest
policies seldom explicitly consider how possible future climate change
may modify critical aspects of the productivity of the stock. At the
single species level, climate change could significantly influence the
carrying capacity, the reproductive potential as well as the spatial
distribution of the stock. At the multi-species level, climate change
may alter the abundance of competitors and predators of species targeted
for fishing. Societal changes in the consumption of fish and policies
regarding marine ranching and aquaculture may also change the economic
factors governing fisheries. This session seeks papers that explore
the future of fish and fisheries under a changing climate. We welcome
examples of management strategies that could be applied to sustain fisheries
under a changing climate and techniques for assessing and forecasting
the performance of harvest policies under changing climate. This session
is also open to new and novel modeling techniques designed to take into
account an uncertain future and/or non-equilibrium conditions in fish,
fishing fleets, management, and the marketing of seafood products. This
could range from how future fishing vessels may be outfitted to best
adapt to a changing climate to how traditional management benchmarks
and concepts (maximum sustainable yield, minimum stock size threshold,
etc.) could be modified or updated to take climate change into account.
Inventive ways to circumvent or adapt to the forecasted impacts of climate
change and the uncertainty surrounding it are also of interest.
Email your questions to P3 Convenors
Email your questions to P3
Invited Speakers
Workshops
(W1 to W6), April 25
Co-Convenors:
Cassandra De Young (Food and Agriculture Organization)
Eddie Allison (WorldFish Center, Malaysia on behalf
of the Global Partnership on Climate, Fisheries and Aquaculture (PaCFA))
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W1
Convenors
Co-Convenors:
Kenneth Denman (Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, DFO, Canada)
Yukihiro Nojiri (National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan)
Hans Pörtner (Alfred-Wegener Institute, Germany)
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W2
Convenors
Co-Convenors:
Salvador Lluch-Cota (Centro de Investigaciones
Biologicas del Noroeste (CIBNOR), Mexico)
Enrique Curchitser (Institute for Marine and Coastal
Sciences, Rutgers University, USA)
Shin-ichi Ito (Tohoku National Fisheries Research
Institute, FRA, Japan)
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W3
Convenors
Co-Convenors:
James Irvine (Pacific Biological Station, DFO, Canada)
Masaaki Fukuwaka (Hokkaido National Fisheries
Research Institute, FRA, Japan)
Suam Kim (Pukyong National University, Korea)
Vladimir Radchenko (Sakhalin Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography, Russia)
Loh-Lee Low (Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Shigehiko Urawa (North Pacific Anadromous Fish
Commission)
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W4
Convenors
Co-Convenors:
Gretta Pecl (Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute, University of Tasmania, Australia)
Alistair Hobday (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Australia)
Stewart Frusher (Tasmanian Aquaculture and Fisheries Institute, University of Tasmania, Australia)
Warwick Sauer (Rhodes University, South Africa)
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W5
Convenors
Co-Convenors:
William Peterson (Hatfield Marine Science Center, NMFS/NOAA, USA)
Kazuaki Tadokoro (Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, FRA, Japan)
Rationale (pdf)
Email your questions to W6 Convenors
