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Session 7. Past, present, and future climate in the North Pacific Ocean: Updates of our understanding since IPCC AR5

Co-Convenors:
Chan Joo Jang (Korea)
Ho-Jeong Shin (Korea)
Zhenya Song (China)
Sukgeun Jung (Korea)
Anne Hollowed (USA)
Kyung-Il Chang (Korea)
Angelica Peña (Canada)
Shin-ichi Ito (Japan)

Invited Speakers:
Jacquelynne R. King (Pacific Biological Station, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Canada)
Shoshiro Minobe (Hokkaido University, Japan)
Yongqiang Yu (State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and      Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, China)

Climate has been changing and is highly likely to have been influenced by human activities. These changes, which have greatly affected the Earth’s environment, have been manifested in oceanic ecosystems. Social demands for information on future projections are increasing the need to adapt to and mitigate climate change. The objective of this session is to update our understanding since IPCC AR5 on the past, present and future climate for the North Pacific Ocean and its marine ecosystems, focusing particularly on climatic change in ecosystem-relevant upper ocean and atmospheric variables. Climate change and its impact have been widely investigated using global climate models, while adaptation and mitigation issues have been studied using mostly regional climate models. While this session invites papers on various topics related to both climate simulations and observations, we also encourage presentations on the development and results of regional climate models (RCMs) and Earth System Models (ESMs), and assessment of hindcast simulations and their application to the projection of future climate or marine ecosystems using coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) in the North Pacific Ocean. Future projections of the North Pacific Ocean and its ecosystems, as obtained from global climate models (including CMIP5 standard experiment data for comparison with RCM results) will also be an important contribution to this session.

 
ORAL PRESENTATIONS

Report from Brazil: Effects of climate change on the world’s oceans (Invited)
Jacquelynne King
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

The latest progress on global Argo observations
Jianping Xu and Zenghong Liu
[pdf, 2 Mb]

The CMIP5 ocean heat storage and temperature
Ho-Jeong Shin and Chan Joo Jang
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

Evaluation on air-sea CO2 fluxes in the equatorial Pacific simulated by CMIP5 models
Lei Wang, Yong Luo and Jianbin Huang
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

SST habitat and food change projections for Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) in the North Pacific and adjacent seas based on CMIP5 climate models (Invited)
Shoshiro Minobe, Hiromichi Ueno, James R. Irvine, Alexander V. Zavolokin, Katherine W. Myers, Mio Terada, Mitsuho Oe and Skip McKinnell
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

S-CCME’s international coordinated research program to project climate change impacts on fish and fisheries by 2019
Anne B. Hollowed, Kristin Holsman, Shin-ichi Ito, Myron Peck, John Pinnegar and Cisco Werner
[waiting for permission]

Climate-change driven range shifts of chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) projected by bio-physical coupling individual based model in the western North Pacific
Sukgeun Jung, Ig-Chan Pang, Joon-ho Lee, Lee Kyunghwan, Tae Hoon Kim, Hwa Hyun Lee, Kyung-Su Kim and Suam Kim
[pdf, 32 Mb]

Potential effect of climate change for copepods distribution in western North Pacific Ocean
Hiroomi Miyamoto, Kazuaki Tadokoro, Takeshi Okunishi, Hiroya Sugisaki, Kiyotaka Hidaka, Yuichi Hirota, Tsuneo Ono, Kou Nishiuchi, Satoshi Kitajima, Takahiko Kameda, Haruyuki Morimoto and Tadafumi Ichikawa
[waiting for permission]

Near future lower-trophic ecosystem projection in the seas around Korea
Hyoun-Woo Kang, Hanna Kim, Jae Kwi So, Momme Buttenschon, Icarus Allen and Ok Hee Seo
[waiting for permission]

Future changes of nutrient dynamics and biological productivity in California Current System
Fei Chai, Peng Xiu and Enrique N. Curchitser
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

Impacts of external forcing on the decadal climate variability in CMIP5 simulations (Invited)
Yongqiang Yu and Yi Song
[pdf, 2 Mb]

A genesis potential index for tropical cyclone using oceanic parameters
Min Zhang, Lei Zhou and Dake Chen
[pdf, 1.5 Mb]

POC COMMITTEE BEST PRESENTATION AWARD
Seasonal characteristics of the long-term sea surface temperature variability in the Yellow and East China Seas

Yong Sun Kim, Chan Joo, Jang Jin, Yong Jeong and Yongchim Min
[permission to post not granted, contact presenter]

Effects of atmospheric forcing on circulation variability in the northern Japan/East Sea in 1948 to 2010
Dmitry V. Stepanov, Victoriia I. Stepanova and Anatoly V. Gusev
[pdf, 1 Mb]

Anomalous tropical cyclone activity in the northwestern Pacific in 2014
Lei Yang, Dongxiao Wang, Xin Wang and Ke Huang
[pdf, 1.2 Mb]

 
POSTERS

Effects of CO2-driven ocean acidification (OA) on early life stages of marine medaka (Oryzias melastigma)
Jingli Mu, FeiJin, JuyingWang, Nan Zheng and Yi Cong

Features of the circulation structure in the Okhotsk Sea based on high-resolution numerical simulation in 1979 to 2000
Dmitry V. Stepanov, Vladimir V. Fomin and Nikolay A. Diansky

Development of a regional climate coupled model for the seas around Korea
Hee Seok Jung, Chan Joo Jang and Ho-Jeong Shin

The effects of runoff forcing on the summer monsoon onset in a climate model
Yajuan Song, Fangli Qiao and Zhenya Song

Change of beginning and duration of the first stage of Far-Eastern summer monsoon on the southern coast of Primorye
Lyubov’ N. Vasilevskaya, Tatiana A. Shatilina and D.N. Vasilevskiy

 
 
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