Sci. Report 40- PICES - North Pacific Marine Science Organization

Report 40 (December 2011)

Report of Working Group 20 on Evaluations of Climate Change Projections


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1.	Introduction			1

2.	Executive Summary and Recommendations			3
	2.1	Summary of WG 20 Activities against Each of the Terms of Reference		3
	2.2	Recommendations		5
	2.3	References		6

3.	Activities of Working Group Members			9
	3.1	The North Pacific Ocean in the enhanced greenhouse: Simulations with the Canadian Earth System Model, CanESM1 James R. Christian		9
	3.2	Climate trends and projections along the British Columbia continental shelf Michael G.G. Foreman, William J. Merryfield, Badal Pal, Diane Masson, Wendy Callendar, John Morrison and Isaac Fine		16
	3.3	Ecosystem projections for the Kuroshio-Oyashio system Yasuhiro Yamanaka, Taketo Hashioka and Takeshi Okunishi		31
	3.4	GCM projections of changes to mixed layer depth in the North Pacific Ocean		43
		A.	Changes in the mixed layer depth in the North Pacific Ocean due to global warming and their impact on primary production Chan Joo Jang, Jisoo Park, Taewook Park and Sinjae Yoo	43
		B.	Changes in the MLD in the equatorial tropical Pacific Ocean and their relation with ENSO under climate change projections Sang-Wook Yeh, Bo Young Yim, Yign Noh and Boris Dewitte	57
	3.5	Interactions between global climate and World Ocean ecosystems Vadim V. Navrotsky		71
	3.6	Evaluation of climatic variability in the Far-Eastern Seas using regional data sets and the relationship with large-scale climate processes Elena I. Ustinova and Yury I. Zuenko		83
	3.7	Up- and down-scaling effects of upwelling in the California Current System Enrique Curchitser, Justin Small, Kate Hedstrom and William Large		98
	3.8	Pacific climate variability in IPCC coupled climate models Jason Furtado and Emanuele Di Lorenzo		103
	3.9	Examples of using Global Climate Models for regional climate projections Muyin Wang and James E. Overland		111

Appendix 1
	Working Group on Evaluations of Climate Change Predictions (WG 20) Terms of Reference			123
Appendix 2
	Working Group on Evaluations of Climate Change Predictions (WG 20) Membership			124
Appendix 3
	Working Group on North Pacific Climate Variability and Change (WG 27) Terms of Reference			126
Appendix 4
	Working Group on Regional Climate Modeling (WG 29) Terms of Reference			127
Appendix 5
	WG 20 Annual Reports			128
Appendix 6
	PICES Press Articles			160

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