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Session
3. Challenges in understanding Northern Hemisphere ocean climate
variability and change
Co-Convenors: Jürgen Alheit (ICES/Germany), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (PICES/USA), Michael Foreman (PICES/
Canada), Shoshiro Minobe (PICES/Japan), Hiroaki Saito (PICES/Japan) and Toshio Suga (CLIVAR/Japan)
Invited Speakers:
Kenneth Drinkwater (Institute of Marine Research, Norway)
Young-Oh Kwon (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, USA)
Nathan Mantua (University of Washington, USA)
Yoshi N. Sasaki (Hokkaido University, Japan)
Akinori Takasuka (National Research Institute of Fisheries Science, FRA, Japan)
Physical climate variability and change exert substantial impacts on marine ecosystems, particularly on longer
timescales because of the longer ocean memory compared with the atmosphere, and the cumulative effects on
marine ecosystems. On a centennial scale, climate changes due to anthropogenic forcings may dominate over
natural variability, but variations on decadal or shorter timescales may be mainly due to natural climate variability.
Furthermore, natural climate variability can be modified via climate changes. Therefore, a correct understanding
of the mechanisms underlying climate variability and change should be the basis for understanding and predicting
future conditions of the North Pacific and North Atlantic. For the North Pacific there is no widely accepted
consensus on the mechanisms governing decadal-to-multidecadal climate variability, and this mainly reflects the
uncertainty of how, or even whether, the mid-latitude ocean influences the atmosphere. Some linkages between
processes, such as oceanic memory due to Rossby wave propagation, are generally accepted, and predictability
associated with these processes may also be important for understanding marine ecosystem impacts. It is also
unclear if teleconnection dynamics between the North Pacific, North Atlantic and the Arctic exert an important
control on the ocean’s decadal climate state. This session brings together researchers of marine ecosystems,
physical oceanography and climate to share ideas about what physical parameters and processes are important in
understanding and predicting the response of specific marine ecosystems to climate forcing. Through collaboration
among PICES, CLIVAR and ICES, this session invites contributions exploring important developments in the
research field of the North Pacific climate variability and change, including physical environmental variations and
their predictability, teleconnection dynamics between oceanic basins, such as the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans, and
linkages between physical conditions and marine ecosystems.
Thursday, October 18, 2012
Kenneth F. Drinkwater
Challenges in understanding ocean climate variability and change and its impacts: Temporal
and spatial scales and multi-forcings (S3-8639), Invited
(pdf, 2 Mb)
Jürgen Alheit
Impact of multi-decadal climate forcing on northern hemisphere small pelagic fish populations
(S3-8595)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Andrey S. Krovnin, Boris N. Kotenev and George Moury
Interaction of major teleconnection patterns as a mechanism linking the North Pacific and
North Atlantic climate (S3-8493)
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Nathan Mantua and Megan Stachura
Empirical evidence for North Pacific ecosystem regime shifts revisited (S3-8834), Invited
(pdf, 1 Mb)
William T. Peterson, Jay Peterson, Cheryl A. Morgan and Jennifer L. Fisher
Tracking ecosystem change in the northern California Current (S3-8688)
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Akinori Takasuka, Ichiro Aoki and Yoshioki Oozeki
Environmental windows for small pelagic fish in the western North Pacific: How do their
vital parameters respond to climate variability and change? (S3-8802), Invited
(pdf, 7 Mb)
Albert J. Hermann, Nicholas A. Bond, Georgina A. Gibson, Enrique N. Curchitser, Kate
Hedstrom and Phyllis J. Stabeno
Biophysical frequency response of the Bering Sea to large-scale forcing (S3-8710)
(pdf, 2 Mb)
Hyung Jeek Kim, Kiseong Hyeong, Chan Min Yoo, Dongseon Kim and Boo-Keun Khim
Impact of strong El Niño events on sinking particle fluxes in the 10ºN thermocline ridge area
of the northeastern equatorial Pacific (S3-8584)
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Elena I. Ustinova and Yury D. Sorokin
Regional features of the climate variability and change in the Far-Eastern Seas (S3-8753)
(waiting for confirmation)
Young-Oh Kwon
Role of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extensions and Gulf Stream in the decadal climate and ecosystem
variability (S3-8636), Invited
(pdf, 6 Mb)
Bunmei Taguchi and Niklas Schneider
Dynamics of North Pacific oceanic heat content variability on decadal time-scale (S3-8752)
(pdf, 6 Mb)
POC COMMITTEE BEST
PRESENTATION AWARD Yoshi N. Sasaki, Shoshiro Minobe and Niklas Schneider
Interannual to decadal variability of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio Extension jets (S3-8397),
Invited
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Jennifer L. Fisher, William T. Peterson, Cheryl A. Morgan and Jay Peterson
Basin-scale versus local-scale drivers of copepod community dynamics in the northeast
Pacific (Newport, Oregon, USA) (S3-8718)
(pdf, 1 Mb)
Andrew Davis and Emanuele Di Lorenzo
Forcing dynamics of mesoscale eddies in the California Current (S3-8332)
(pdf, 3 Mb)
Vadim Navrotsky
Effects of solar activity on climate-ocean ecosystems interactions (S3-8532)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Patrick Cummins and Diane Masson
Wind-driven variability of dissolved oxygen below the mixed layer at Station P (S3-8643)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Haruka Nishikawa, Yoichi Ishikawa, Masafumi Kamachi, Hiromichi Igarashi, Shuhei
Masuda, Toshimasa Doi, Shiro Nishikawa, Yoshihisa Hiyoshi, Yuji Sasaki, Takashi
Mochizuki, Hiroshi Ishizaki, Tsuyoshi Wakamatsu and Toshiyuki Awaji
Estimation of nutrient supply process in the spring Kuroshio-Oyashio transition region
(S3-8523)
(pdf, 1 Mb)