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Workshop 2. Climate change projections for marine ecosystems: Best practice, limitations and interpretations
Co-Convenors: Enrique Curchitser (Rutgers University, USA)
Icarus Allen (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, UK)
Invited Speakers:
William Cheung (Fisheries Centre, UBC, Canada)
Villy Christensen (University of British Columbia, Canada)
Jason Holt (National Oceanographic Centre, UK)
Charles Stock (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, USA)
This 2-day workshop aims to assemble scientists interested in making and interpreting projections of ecosystem
responses to future climate change. The goal is to describe different approaches to modeling the impacts of climate
variability on marine ecosystems, their ability to support sustainable harvesting and to highlight the strengths and
limitations of the different approaches. We seek models that address both global and regional ecosystems and
are particularly interested in presentations covering a range of models from statistical to mechanistic approaches
including mass-balance (ECOPATH), size-based, minimalist, individual-based (IBMs) and end-to-end (E2E)
models. Emphasis will be placed on models that examine trophic interactions as well as approaches that link
biogeochemical processes with higher trophic level production. Presentations that discuss advantages and
limitations of particular approaches and discuss the quantification of uncertainty in climate forced simulations are
encouraged.
Jason Holt, James Harle, Sarah Wakelin, Momme Butenschön, Yuri Artioli, Icarus Allen,
Jason Lowe and Jonathan Tinker
Exploring the drivers of climate change impacts on shelf and coastal marine ecosystems:
Consequences for downscaling experiment design (W2-8126), Invited
[waiting for permission]
Charles A. Stock, Michael A. Alexander, Nicholas A. Bond, Keith Brander, William W.L.
Cheung, Enrique N. Curchitser, Thomas L. Delworth, John P. Dunne, Stephen M. Griffies,
Melissa A. Haltuch, Jonathan A. Hare, Anne B. Hollowed, Patrick Lehodey, Simon A.
Levin, Jason S. Link, Kenneth A. Rose, Ryan R. Rykaczewski, Jorge L. Sarmiento, Ronald
J. Stouffer, Franklin B. Schwing, Gabriel A. Vecchi and Francisco E. Werner
On the use of IPCC-class models to assess the impact of climate on living marine resources
(W2-8141), Invited
[pdf, 0.8 Mb]
William W.L. Cheung, Jose Fernandes, Thomas L. Frölicher, Jorge L. Sarmiento,
U. Rashid Sumaila and Daniel P. Pauly
Modelling large scale effects of global change on marine ecosystems and fisheries
(W2-8243), Invited
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Corinna Schrum, Bjørn Ådlandsvik, Richard Bellerby, Ute Daewel, Trond Kristensen and
Dhanya Pushpadas
Dynamic downscaling to marine ecosystems (W2-8293)
[pdf, N/A, contact presenter]
Fei Chai, Yi Xu, Kenneth A. Rose and Francisco P. Chavez
Modeling Peru upwelling ecosystem dynamics: From physics to anchovy (W2-8046)
(permission to post denied, contact presenter)
Enrique N. Curchitser, Kenneth A. Rose, Kate Hedstrom, Jerome Fiechter, Miguel Bernal,
Shin-ichi Ito, Alan Haynie and Francisco E. Werner
Development of a climate-to-fish-to-fishers model: Implementation in the Eastern Pacific
sardine and anchovy system (W2-8315)