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All PICES-2015 Presentations

Session 2. The 2014/15 El Niño and anomalous warming of the North Pacific: What happened?

Co-Convenors:
Bill Peterson (USA)
Lisa Eisner (USA)
Tony Koslow (USA)

Invited Speakers:
Nicholas Bond (University of Washington, USA)
Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Earth & Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, USA)

Major El Niño events in 1982/83 and 1997/98 had massive impacts on the ecosystems of the North Pacific Ocean. In spring 2014, computer models were predicting another major El Niño for 2014/15. However, it now appears that the event is weakening (but who knows what the future holds). Despite this, it is perhaps more noteworthy that the entire Pacific north of ~35°N is anomalously warm with SSTs in the Gulf of Alaska that are >4σ above the long-term mean. This warming event appears to be unprecedented, with strong signals in the Gulf of Alaska and Bering Sea, and across the Pacific to Japan, as well as in the Oyashio, the Sea of Okhotsk and coastal waters surrounding Russia, Japan and Korea. Anomalous warming is also seen in the Arctic Ocean, Baffin Bay, the Labrador Sea and much of the far north Atlantic. Key questions to address in this session include what are the atmospheric conditions leading to wide-spread warming, what are the consequences for local weather, and, what are the consequences to ecosystem structure and fisheries? The purpose of this session is to encourage researchers to present evidence of anomalous behaviour in the ecosystems of the North Pacific. We are interested in descriptions of anomalous behaviour in the physical environment, the chemistry of the oceans and the biological impacts of the physical anomalies. The session will be a success if investigators with related stories are brought together to write joint papers describing the evolution and impacts of both the 2014/15 El Niño event as well as anomalous warming of the North Pacific (and perhaps the North Atlantic and adjacent seas).

 

Causes and effects of the recent warming in the Northeast Pacific Ocean (Invited)
Nicholas A. Bond and Meghan Cronin
[pdf, 3 Mb]

Persistent record-high temperatures in the North Pacific in 2014/2015: A climate hypothesis (Invited)
Emanuele Di Lorenzo and Nathan Mantua
[pdf, 25 Mb]

Arrival of 2014-2015 Warm Anomaly waters off Oregon
P. Michael Kosro, Craig Risien, John A. Barth, Alexander Kurapov, R. Kipp Shearman and P. Ted Strub
[pdf, 2.5 Mb]

Phytoplankton responses to the anomalous warming in the NE Pacific
Angelica Peña, Nina Nemcek and Marie Robert
[permission to post denied, contact presenter]

Warm Blob effects on subtropical NE Pacific Ocean phytoplankton
Eliana Gómez-Ocampo and Gilberto Gaxiola-Castro
[pdf, 1 Mb]

The effects of the anomalous warming on lower trophic levels in the NE Pacific, from Continuous Plankton Recorder sampling
Sonia Batten
[pdf, 2.5 Mb]

The effects of The Blob on the zooplankton and upper trophic levels of the Northern California Current off Oregon
William T. Peterson, Jennifer Fisher, Jay Peterson and Tracy Shaw
Presented by Anthony Koslow on behalf of William T. Peterson
[pdf, 1.5 Mb]

Observations of anomalously low crustacean zooplankton production rates along the west coast of Vancouver Island in the spring of 2015
Akash R. Sastri, John F. Dower, Aidan Neill, R., Karyn D. Suchy, Moira Galbraith, Kelly V. Young and R. Ian Perry
[pdf, 1.5 Mb]

Ichthyoplankton and corrosive waters off southern California
Sam McClatchie, Andrew R. Thompson and William Watson
[pdf, 1 Mb]

Anomalous patterns in California Current pelagic micronekton distribution and abundance in 2015
John C. Field, Keith M. Sakuma, Baldo B. Marinovic, Cynthia N. Carrion and Nathan J. Mantua
[pdf, 3 Mb]

Preliminary observations of the impact of the BLOB on the summer distribution of marine fish in the Gulf of Alaska
Anne B. Hollowed, Chris Wilson and Wayne Palsson
[waiting for permission]

Anomalous warming and its impacts in the NE Pacific from a Canadian perspective
R. Ian Perry, Moira Galbraith, Peter Chandler, Howard Freeland, John Dower, Akash Sastri, Mark Hipfner, Jennifer Boldt and Marc Trudel
[pdf, 2 Mb]

Anomalously warm conditions during 2013-2015 off the California Coast
Yi Chao, John Farrara and Fei Chai
Presented by Fei Chai on behalf of Yi Chao
[permission to post denied, contact presenter]

 
 
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