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Co-Convenors:
Emanuele Di Lorenzo (U.S.A.) and Shoshiro Minobe (Japan)
Understanding the dynamics that
control climate variability in the Pacific basin is essential
for exploring the degree of predictability of the ocean-atmosphere
and sea-ice climate systems of the North Pacific. The
goal of this workshop is to improve the conceptual and
quantitative frameworks used by the PICES community to
interpret low-frequency climate variability in the Pacific
basin, ranging from interannual to multi-decadal timescales.
Contributions are invited on a broad range of topics including:
1) studies that link regional to basin scale dynamics;
2) investigations of "regime shift", specifically the
extent to which sharp transitions in the climate system
are predictable and connected with low-frequency variations
in the ocean-atmosphere and sea-ice systems; (3) studies
that separate the stochastic and deterministic components
of low-frequency climate fluctuations; (4) analysis of
long-term observations collected in regional environments
across the Pacific, specifically their relationship to
large-scale climate processes as opposed to local-scale
dynamics; (5) climate change and how it may impact the
statistics of Pacific climate (e.g.,
frequency of "regime shifts"); and (6) more generally
studies that propose new mechanisms underlying low-frequency
Pacific climate variability.
|
| |
| October 24-25, 2009 |
| |
| Topic 1: Pacific Large-scale dynamics and variability |
| Sumant Nigam
and Bin Guan (Invited)
Ocean-atmosphere structure of Pacific decadal variability (W8-5931)
(pdf,
3.7 Mb) |
| |
| Curtis Deutsch
and Taka Ito (Invited)
Oxygen variability in the North Pacific (W8-5799) |
| |
| Sang-Wook Yeh,
Yune-Jung Kang, Yign Noh and Arthur J. Miller
Characteristics in the North Pacific mean SST and its variability in climate
transition periods
(W8-5901) |
| |
| Skip McKinnell
and Nate Mantua
Regimelettes – PDO variability in the 21st
Century (W8-5882) |
| |
| Muyin Wang,
James E. Overland and Nicholas A. Bond
A means for reducing projection uncertainty of climate models on regional
scale (W8-5846) |
| |
| Topic 2: Tropical / Extratropical connections |
| Michael Alexander,
Daniel J. Vimont, Ping Chang and James Scott
(Invited)
The impact of extratropical atmospheric variability on the tropical Pacific:
Testing the seasonal footprinting mechanism (W8-5648) |
| |
| Daniel J. Vimont
(Invited)
The role of thermodynamic coupling in connecting subtropical and tropical
Pacific climate variations (W8-5762) |
| |
| Xiaohui Tang,
Ping Chang and Fan Wang
Influence of reducing weather noise on ENSO prediction (W8-5741) |
| |
| Topic 3: Western North Pacific dynamics and variability |
| Bo Qiu,
Shuiming Chen and Niklas Schneider (Invited)
Forced versus intrinsic variability of the Kuroshio Extension system on
the decadal timescales
(W8-5657)
(pdf,
3 Mb) |
| |
| Shoshiro Minobe,
Jiaxu Zhang and Miho Urasawa
Kuroshio Extension variability during the last 50-years and its predictability
(W8-5829) |
| |
| Rong-shuo Cai,
Qi-long Zhang and Hong-jian Tan
The long-term transport variation of Kuroshio and its adjacent currents
in the western North Pacific Ocean (W8-5554) |
| |
| Masami Nonaka,
Hisashi Nakamura, Bunmei Taguchi, Youichi Tanimoto and Hideharu Sasaki
(Invited)
Decadal variability in the oceanic frontal zones in the western North
Pacific Ocean (W8-5796) |
| |
| Elena I. Ustinova
and Yury D. Sorokin
Low-frequency fluctuations of thermal conditions in the Far-Eastern Seas
and large-scale climate processes (W8-5767) |
| |
| Konstantin
A. Rogachev and Natalia V. Shlyk
Surface freshening and mid-depth warming in the Pacific Western Subarctic
since 1950s (W8-5518) |
| |
| Topic 4: Air Sea interaction and coupled structures |
| Bunmei Taguchi,
Hisashi Nakamura, Masami Nonaka, Nobumasa Komori, Akira Kuwano-Yoshida,
Hideharu Sasaki, Koutarou Takaya and Shang-Ping Xie
(Invited)
Decadal variability of the Kuroshio/Oyashio Extension fronts and their
atmospheric influences (W8-5755)
(pdf, 17 Mb, by request) |
| |
| Niklas Schneider,
Yoshinori Sasaki, Axel Lauer, Bo Qiu, Arthur J. Miller and Detlef Stammer
Extratropical ocean to atmosphere coupling via atmospheric Ekman pumping
(W8-5938) |
| |
| Topic 5: Discussion/Synthesis |
| Emanuele Di
Lorenzo, Niklas Schneider, Kim M. Cobb, Jason Furtado and Michael
Alexander
ENSO and the North Pacific Gyre Oscillation: An integrated view of Pacific
decadal dynamics (W8-5586)
(pdf, 19 Mb, by request) |
| |
| Arthur J. Miller,
Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Shoshiro Minobe and Niklas Schneider
North Pacific decadal variability: Current understanding and unresolved
issues (W8-5820)
(pdf,
1.5 Mb) |
| |
