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Session
4. Ecosystem status, trends and forecasts
Convenors:
Hiroaki Saito (Japan)
Thomas Therriault (Canada)
Plenary Speaker: Deborah K. Steinberg (Virginia Institute of Marine Science, USA)
Marine ecosystems are constantly changing. Therefore, researchers need to develop and to communicate information on ecosystem status, trends, and forecasts to ensure that sound management and policy decisions are made for the benefit of the societies that depend on them. Ecosystem indicators are one way to communicate
such information, but the selection of the most appropriate indicators can prove challenging, especially given increasingly complex array of audiences. It is likely that different indicators will be needed where the scale of ecosystem responses to different stressors must be reconciled with the scale of the perturbation (e.g., coastal versus oceanic). orecast ecosystem change demands good understanding of how multiple stressors affect ecosystem structure and function. A key element of the FUTURE program is the ability to convey to diverse audiences, in
each of the PICES member countries, ecosystem status, trends and forecasts. This session will explore current and proposed ecosystem status and trend indicators, including some already in use in the North Pacific Ecosystem Status Reports, and attempt to identify metrics required in support of ecosystem forecasts.
Sanae Chiba, Sayaka Yasunaka, Tomoko Yoshiki, Hiroya Sugisaki, Sonia Batten and Tadafumi Ichikawa
Oceanic currents dynamics and zooplankton diversity in the Kuroshio-Oyashio-Extension (KOE) Region (9324) [pdf, 8 Mb]
Sonia Batten
Lower trophic level ecosystem indicators from CPR data (9296) [pdf, 2.5 Mb]
Douding Lu and Xinfeng Dai
Evolvement of HAB causative species and possible links during the past five decades in Chinese coastal waters (9317) [pdf, 9 Mb]
Ichiro Imai, Masafumi Natsuike, Keigo Yamamoto, Tetsuya Nishikawa and Satoshi Nagai
Long-term trends of red tides by eutrophication and toxic blooms by oligotrophication in the Seto Inland Sea of Japan (9412) [pdf, 7 Mb]
Jon Brodziak and Marc Mangel
Understanding ecosystem productivity and predicting population resilience via steepness (9353) [pdf, 1.5 Mb]
Haruka Nishikawa, Yoichi Ishikawa, Shiro Nishikawa and Toshiyuki Awaji
Possible effects of global warming on the neon flying squid winter-spring cohort (9298) [pdf, 1.5 Mb]
Yongjun Tian, Xuhui Xie, Kazuhisa Uchikawa, Jürgen Alheit, Jiahua Cheng and Akira Tomosada
Regime shifts in the fish assemblages around Japan over the last century and their early warning signals (9352) [pdf, 1 Mb]
Hiroaki Saito
Wind off Hawaii and fisheries in Japan: Expected benefit from marine science to society (9378) [pdf, 2 Mb]