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Conveners: Kerim Aydin (U.S.A.) and Akihiko Yatsu
(Japan) |
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The synthesis of CCCC (PICES-GLOBEC Climate Change and Carrying Capacity
Program) knowledge of climate change and carrying capacity may focus
on developing a workplan based on the proposed CFAME (Climate Forcing
and Marine Ecosystem Response) Task Team guiding hypothesis. To
facilitate this synthesis, CFAME recommends an interim workshop for
a core group of CFAME scientists, in order to develop recommendations
from the Study Group on Fisheries and Ecosystem Responses to Recent
Regime Shifts and Working Group 16 on Climate Change, Shifts
in Fish Production, and Fisheries Management into a concrete program
for progress and the development of a CFAME workplan.
The scientific focus of this workshop will be the TIME SCALES
OF RESPONSE MECHANISMS to specific climate shifts. It will
approach the question: “Is there a sufficiently general conceptual
model which may relate each life history strategist to patterns in lower
trophic-level production?” It is hoped that tractable hypotheses
may be outlined, for example the “flow hypothesis” for Pacific
sardine, as discussed in the PICES III workshop on “Linking open
ocean and coastal ecosystems II”. Two invited scientists will
aid in providing current hypotheses.
The development of the work plan will center on the comparison of the
response of multiple life-history strategists in relation to climate.
The preliminary list for discussion is: euphausiids, pollock, squid,
sardines, pink salmon, saury, capelin, anchovy.
It is expected that preliminary results from the work initiated at
this workshop will be submitted as one or more CFAME presentations at
the CCCC synthesis symposium, in to be held in 2006.
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AGENDA
revised 2005/05/06
May 14-15, 2005
Salon B on the 2nd floor,
Chateau Victoria Hotel
Victoria, BC, Canada
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Saturday, May 14 |
09:00 - 17:30 |
Introduction, presentations and discussions
of on-going national GLOBEC and GLOBEC-like programs relevant to spatial
and temporal scales and processes of response mechanisms to specific climatic
regime shifts (1970/71, 1976/77, 1988/89 and 1998/99), especially with
respect to carrying capacity using focus species: euphausiids, pollock,
squid, sardines, pink salmon, saury, capelin, and anchovy. |
Sunday, May 15 |
09:30 - 17:00 |
Development and adoption of CFAME work plan based
on comparisons of presentations in Day-1. |
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DAY-1 |
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09:00-09:30 |
Introduction, adoption of agenda, appointment of
reporters, logistics: lead by Kerim Aydin and Akihiko Yatsu |
09:30-09:45 |
CFAME hypotheses and purposes of the workshop: Akihiko
Yatsu and Kerim Aydin |
09:45-10:15 |
Inputs from FERRRS: Jackie King |
10:15-10:45 |
Coffee |
10:45-11:15 |
CCCC integration/synthesis and 2006 April Honolulu meeting: Hal Batchelder |
11:15-11:45 |
Invited talk and discussion: Kazuaki Tadokoro "Decadal
variations in mesozooplankton biomass in North Pacific with comparison
of their environments" |
11:45-12:05 |
A short review of climate indices and their suitability for what we are
trying to understand: Skip McKinnell |
12:05-12:20 |
A new POC WG on Climate Forcing: Mike Foreman |
12:20-12:30 |
Exchange National figures produced with templates for KEY SPECIES |
12:30-14:00 |
Lunch |
14:00-14:45 |
Presentation by Canada and discussion: |
14:45-15:30 |
Presentation by Japan and discussion: Akihiko Yatsu and Sanae Chiba |
15:30-15:50 |
Coffee |
15:50-16:35 |
Presentation by Korea and discussion: Sukyung Kang |
16:35-17:15 |
Presentation by USA and discussion: Kerim Aydin and Jim Overland |
17:15-17:30 |
Production-based models: Kerim Aydin |
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DAY-2: lead by Kerim Aydin and Akihiko Yatsu |
09:30-10:30 |
Commonalities and differences of biological responses
among regions and target species (make tables similar to Table 2.1 of
FERRRS report and comparative figures using templates) |
10:30-11:00 |
Coffee |
11:00-12:00 |
Possible causes of match and mismatch among species/strategy/area |
12:00-14:00 |
Lunch |
14:00-15:00 |
DEVELOPMENT and ADOPTION OF CFAME WORK PLAN and Recommendations for CFAME
activities in conjunction to MODEL TT.
a. 2005 September/October annual meeting (Vladivostok)
b. 2006 April CCCC synthesis workshop (Honolulu)
c. 2006 annual meeting (Yokohama, Japan) - proposal for recruitment issues
under either CFAME or CCCC. |
15:00-15:30 |
Coffee |
15:30-16:45 |
DEVELOPMENT and ADOPTION OF CFAME WORK PLAN (continued) |
16:45-17:00 |
Closing remarks and future activities |
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NB: a PC projector and a color printer will be supplied
from Secretariat, and Xerox copy is available at the Front Desk of the hotel. |
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